Informing the Campfire Community every day

You are here

Pete Lawrence - 04 May 2018


John McDonnell called it early when he projected that it would be a "boring" election, which caused disdain and mock shock in the BBC studio last night. But he was right, what we have is a more polarised, seemingly less flexible electorate and everything points to another hung parliament next time around. And all this despite the state of the Tories and everything that has gone on in recent months.

So the MSM's call that 'peak Corbyn' has arrived (despite Labour pushing the Tories to their worst London result since 1971 I believe) will be the running narrative which misses the point. Politics is essentially a bit stuck and this Sky analysis is incisive and correct . "Labour are stuck in their urban, liberal, younger, more ethnically diverse seats in the big cities and university towns. The Conservatives are stuck in small-town Britain, post-industrial areas and rural/semi-rural seats, with older and whiter voters."

With UKIP now in 'Black Death' mode it seems that much of their vote is going to the Conservatives. Labour's big ambitions, as talked up by the likes of Sadiq Khan, Owen Jones and other Labour activists,  A soft Brexit or pro Remain stance just isn't going to cut it to get through in the industrial West Midlands and bellweather constituencies such as Nuneaton and Derby, although Dudley didn't show the anticipated shift from UKIP to Tory. So what next for Labour's Brexit strategy? 

Last night was an anti-climax. I still believe that the country hasn't reached 'peak Corbyn' as many would want to have us believe (people are more and more looking outside the mainstream media to help inform their voting options), but I'm yearning for something that will break the increasingly polarised mould. With Labour, the divide between the party's leadership and the stubborn Blairites is probably the factor that is most holding back the party with the electorate. So what we're left with is urban Britain v the rest, with a few outposts of non-conformity and very little shift at the moment.

The voting system is fundamentally flawed and undemocratic but within that paradigm, it seems that within ten years we have moved from what many saw as the era of coalition politics to one of increasing polarisation with very little common ground or consensus. Which is better? You decide..



More From Pete Lawrence